Just hours
before polls open on the East Coast on Tuesday, November 8, 2016
celebrity pollster Nate Silver’s final — or very nearly final — analysis
of a throng of presidential polls shows Democrat Hillary Clinton
holding a national lead between 3 and 4 points over Republican Donald
Trump.
As of Monday evening, Silver’s ever-shifting prediction model at the website FiveThirtyEight says Clinton currently has a 70 percent chance to beat Trump in Tuesday’s election.
Clinton’s odds of victory increased modestly just in the last 24 hours, according to Silver, from 65 percent to 70 percent.
“Clinton has had a good run in the polls
in the final days of the campaign,” he writes. “Clinton’s projected
margin of victory in the popular vote has increased to 3.5 percent from
2.9 percent.”
Americans will cast their verdicts on
Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump Tuesday after an exhausting,
acrimonious campaign that at times revolted the nation and tore at its
fabric.
History will be made no matter how the vote turns out.
Clinton would become the first woman to
win the presidency in the 240-year history of the United States. A Trump
triumph would represent a massive repudiation of the Washington
establishment not seen in generations.
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