Fitch Ratings, a global ratings agency has stated that Nigeria will
continue to experience sluggish recovery following a weak business
climate, regulatory uncertainty in the oil sector and tight credit
supply which has held back investment.
The agency which predicted that the country’s GDP growth would
average 2.2 per cent in 2019-2020, below its previous 10-year average of
4.2 per cent and the current ‘B’ median of 3.4 per cent, added that the
high unemployment and inflation would constrain private consumption.
Fitch who affirmed the country's long-term foreign-currency issuer
default rating at ‘B+’ with a stable outlook, stated that Nigeria will
continue to experience a sluggish recovery, driven by the rebound in oil
prices and the expansion of services.
“A large infrastructure deficit, which is illustrated by acute
power supply shortages and security challenges, also dampen the
medium-term growth outlook. Nigeria’s ratings are supported by the large
size of its economy, a track record of current account surpluses and a
relatively low general government debt-to-GDP.
This is balanced against poor governance and development
indicators, structurally low fiscal revenues and high dependence on
hydrocarbons. The rating is also weighed down by subdued GDP growth and
inflation that is higher than in rating peers," it said.
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