The federal government has given a hint
on why it is opting for offshore borrowing to finance a major part of
the N2.2 trillion deficit in the 2016 budget, saying its preference was
dictated by a desire not to crowd out the nation’s private sector.
The deficit in the N6.06 trillion budget
characterised by an expansive fiscal spending directed at reflating the
economy, is about 2.41 per cent of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and
is within the 3 per cent threshold prescribed by the Fiscal
Responsibility Act, 2007.
Speaking during the highlights of the budget in Abuja Thursday, the minister stated that the borrowing was to be raised roughly equally from domestic and foreign sources
The deficit is to be financed mainly by
borrowings projected at N1.84 trillion, with the local component
standing at N984 billion and N900 billion from international sources,
“We have decided to source from
international sources so as not to rely exclusively on domestic
borrowing, which may have the effect of crowding out the private sector
Furthermore, we are optimistic that we may be able to access some of the
foreign loans on a concessionary basis. The Ministry of Finance is
currently negotiating with multiple sources to secure the external
financing,” Udoma said.
The minister noted that the 2016 budget
was the first full-year budget of the current administration, adding
that it was prepared against a background of general slowdown in global
economic growth, and more significantly, a massive decline in crude oil
prices.
“It will be recalled that crude oil
exports had hitherto accounted for over 70 per cent of government
revenues and over 90 per cent of foreign exchange earnings. Consequently
the 67 per cent fall in oil prices from mid-2014 to end-2015 has had
wide ranging adverse ramifications for the Nigerian economy, especially
on the external sector.
“The budget was guided by the 2016-2018
Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF), Fiscal Strategy Paper (FSP)
and the 2016 Agenda outlined in the previous section. It is also the
first time the Zero Based Budgeting (ZBB) approach is being adopted in
preparing the FGN’s budget.
“The ZBB requires Ministries,
Departments and Agencies (MDAs) to justify every item of revenue and
expenditure, as well as projects and programmes included in the budget.
It is a departure from the traditional Incremental Budgeting approach
that simply adjusts (usually upwards) amounts included in the prior
period’s budget.
“Coming from 2015 that was characterised
by significant decline in revenue and GDP growth, rising inflation,
weakening balance of payment, declining foreign reserves, rising public
debt, weak capital market and rising unemployment, the federal
government made a deliberate choice to pursue an expansionary fiscal
policy in 2016,” the minister said.
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